CVOCA INVESTOCRAFT 2025

Disclaimer for Research Report

Caprize Investment Managers Private Limited (“CIMPL”) or (“Research Entity”) a company duly incorporated under the Companies Act, 2013 (CIN No U66309MH2023PTG402309) having its Registered office situated at 211, Kamala Spaces, S. V. Road, Santacruz West Mumbai Maharashtra 400054. It is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (“SEBI”) and is licensed to carry on the business of Research Analyst and related activities. The business of CIMPL and its Associates (list available on www .caprize.co ) are organized around two broad business groups: Stockbroker & Depository Participant and Research Analyst.

This Report has been prepared by Caprize Investment Managers Private Limited (“CIMPL”) in the capacity of a Research Analyst having SEBI Registration No. INH000015446 and distributed as per SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations 2014. This report does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable. This report is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Each recipient of this report should make such investigation as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult his own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors.

This information is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. This information should not be reproduced or redistributed or passed on directly or indirectly in any form to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject CIMPL and associates / group companies to any registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdiction.

For detail disclaimer please visit our website – https://www.caprize.co/

 

INVESTMENT IN SECURITIES MARKET ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS. READ ALL THE RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY BEFORE INVESTING

DISCLAIMER

  • We are a SEBI registered RA House
  • We are invested in the idea presented today
  • Our views are personal, we are biased  – so please do your own due diligence before investing

WILL YOU INVEST IF…

  •  Company got listed in November 2024
  •  But returns on IPO price are still >150%
  •  Close to 60% business is B2G
  •  TTM PE –> 60X

BUT…

  • Massive inflection points across segments
  • Order Book is 8x its FY24 revenues and Order Pipeline is another 8x
  • Earnings growth ahead –> estimated CAGR of >50% from FY25 to FY28
  • FY26E PE –> 11x, ROCE & ROE –> 30%+ at present
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CURRENT AND ESTIMATED DEMAND SUPPLY FOR POWER

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Peak Power demand is Estimated to be 335 GW by 2030, Peak demand has always outpaced base demand historically, While base demand has grown at 5%, peak demand has grown at 7%

MOST OF THE POWER GENERATION ADDITION TO HAPPEN IN WESTERN BELTS OF INDIA

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  • Current HVDC network is concentrated in Eastern belt near conventional energy sources
  • >220 kV Lines will be added more in Western belt as 60% of RE energy generation will be Western belt
Our Company Strategically located in sweet spot to benefit from this opportunity

UNTAPPED POTENTIAL IN T&D

TRANSMISSION LINE ADDITION TO BE ADDED IN NEXT 6 YEARS

Transmission line to be added at 6% CAGR, which translates to nearly 30000 Ckm/Year, Current installation is    ~ 14000 – 15000 Ckm since last 3 years

UNTAPPED POTENTIAL IN T&D

TRANSFORMATION CAPACITY TO BE ADDED IN NEXT 6 YEARS

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Transformation capacity to be added at 12% CAGR, which translates to nearly 212 GVA/Year, Current installation is  ~ 70 – 80 GVA since last 3 years

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EPC CONSTITUTES 20 – 25% OF TRANSMISION AND SUBSTATION PROJECT

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RAJESH POWER

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REVENUE SPLIT

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RAJESH POWER

HKRP INNOVATION ACQUISITION

  • Provides IT Based solutions to energy sector
  • Provides Internet of Things (IoT) and Cloud based solutions to power girds and Renewable energy sector
  • HKRP provides innovative solutions like “Smart Feeder Management System” (SFMS), “Virtual Feeder Segregation” (VFS), “RTMS for Oil Well”, “Solar Energy Data Management” (SEDM)
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ROBUST ORDERBOOK

ROBUST ORDERBOOK TO AID GROWTH VISIBILITY

  • Current Orderbook stands at ~2750 Cr executable over 18 – 24 Months
  • Bid – Pipeline at >5000 Cr
  • ~10X orderbook of FY 24 revenue

FINANCIAL & VALUATIONS

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PEER COMPARISON

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RISKS

  • Delay in Project Execution
  • Slow Government & Private Capex
  • Delay in payment by the Utility

THANK YOU

  • website: www.caprize.co
  • twitter: @caprize_invest
  • email: info@caprize.co
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Reg No: INH000015446
(Validity: 14/03/2024 – Perpetual)

Compliance Officer – Sushrut Gokhale
022 6239 2018, 9226656066

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